Posts in Stocks Portfolio

Totem’s Performance on Portfolio Was Unveiled

February 11th, 2019 Posted by Stocks Portfolio No Comment yet

 Totem’s portfolio performance was unveiled today. We have updated the overall returns we made from May 2013 to December 31, 2016.  We have monitored companies we believed were valuable and we are publicly revealing the results of returns.

Totem analyzed and scrutinized each company through our own method of filtering and leaving only the companies with value as a guide for beginners in investing.

Performance Summary of  Time-Weighted Rate of Return 

We have cracked the analysis we made as of December 31, 2016.

Period Cost Value Overall Return Days Annual return Time Weighted
5/23/2013 12/31/2013 23,711 40,593 71.20% 222 142.06% 1.095
12/31/2013 8/13/2014 73,341 93,201 27.08% 225 47.51% 1.042
8/13/2014 8/30/2014 207,206 223,509 7.87% 17 408.42% 1.001
8/30/2014 12/31/2014 223,509 211,710 -5.28% 123 6.59% 0.995
12/31/2014 3/25/2015 377,599 383,182 1.48% 84 6.59% 1.001
3/25/2015 12/2/2015 437,435 473,353 8.21% 252 12.11% 1.015
12/2/2015 12/31/2015 371,583 380,531 2.41% 29 34.92% 1.001
12/31/2015 4/12/2016 402,239 423,449 5.27% 103 19.97% 1.004
4/12/2016 5/5/2016 367,711 359,903 -2.12% 23 -28.87% 1.000
5/5/2016 5/31/2016 359,903 362,753 0.79% 26 11.71% 1.000
5/31/2016 6/30/2016 362,753 357,506 -1.45% 30 -16.24% 1.000
6/30/2016 7/31/2016 357,506 377,261 5.53% 31 88.38% 1.001
7/31/2016 8/31/2016 377,261 391,919 3.89% 31 56.64% 1.001
8/31/2016 9/30/2016 391,919 406,971 3.84% 30 58.17% 1.001
9/30/2016 10/31/2016 406,971 407,614 0.16% 31 1.88% 1.000
10/31/2016 11/30/2016 407,614 407,350 -0.06% 30 -0.79% 1.000
11/30/2016 12/31/2016 407,350 397,340 -2.46% 31 -25.39% 0.999
1318 16.17%

Following us from the beginning you probably make the same returns as we did from the list we monitored. In the next article, we will provide an updated analysis for the first quarter of 2017. We invite you to keep a watch on the articles we are posting. We will reveal the next overall analysis.

Thank you for reading.

If you want to read our previous post on blog click here.

Portfolio Return on Totem List Updated

October 28th, 2017 Posted by Stocks Portfolio No Comment yet

Portfolio Updates

Portfolio returns on the company list we monitored were updated as of August 31, 2017. We believed these companies were valuable and we publicly reveal the results of returns. We analyzed and scrutinized all these companies in the list through our own method of filtering, leaving and choosing only the companies with value. The summary of the analysis of the portfolio return is shown in the table below. 

Summary

Period Cost Value Overall return Days Annual return Time Weighted
5/23/2013 12/31/2013 23,711 40,593 71.20% 222 38.68% 1.079
12/31/2013 8/13/2014 73,341 93,201 27.08% 225 15.92% 1.035
8/13/2014 8/30/2014 207,206 223,509 7.87% 17 0.35% 1.001
8/30/2014 12/31/2014 223,509 211,710 -5.28% 123 -1.81% 0.996
12/31/2014 3/25/2015 377,599 383,182 1.48% 84 0.34% 1.001
3/25/2015 12/2/2015 437,435 473,353 8.21% 252 5.60% 1.013
12/2/2015 12/31/2015 371,583 380,531 2.41% 29 0.19% 1.000
12/31/2015 4/12/2016 402,239 423,449 5.27% 103 1.46% 1.003
4/12/2016 5/5/2016 367,711 361,724 -1.63% 23 -0.10% 1.000
5/5/2016 5/31/2016 361,724 362,590 0.24% 26 0.02% 1.000
5/31/2016 6/30/2016 362,590 357,295 -1.46% 30 -0.12% 1.000
6/30/2016 7/31/2016 357,295 377,062 5.53% 31 0.46% 1.001
7/31/2016 8/31/2016 377,062 391,718 3.89% 31 0.32% 1.001
8/31/2016 9/30/2016 391,718 406,762 3.84% 30 0.31% 1.001
9/30/2016 10/31/2016 406,762 407,371 0.15% 31 0.01% 1.000
10/31/2016 11/30/2016 407,371 407,171 -0.05% 30 0.00% 1.000
11/30/2016 12/31/2016 791,544 781,540 -1.26% 31 -0.11% 1.000
12/31/2016 1/31/2017 781,540 822,893 5.29% 31 0.44% 1.001
1/31/2017 2/28/2017 822,893 853,749 3.75% 28 0.28% 1.001
2/28/2017 3/31/2017 860,749 877,985 2.00% 31 0.17% 1.000
3/31/2017 4/30/2017 930,880 966,310 3.81% 30 0.31% 1.001
4/30/2017 5/31/2017 979,756 1,000,174 2.08% 31 0.18% 1.000
5/31/2017 6/30/2017 1,000,174 979,344 -2.08% 30 -0.17% 1.000
6/30/2017 7/31/2017 979,344 1,037,439 5.93% 31 0.49% 1.001
7/31/2017 8/31/2017 1,037,439 1,002,025 -3.41% 31 -0.29% 0.999
          1561   13.88%

Above all, if you follow us all the way from the beginning you probably make the same portfolio return of 13.88 percent. Therefore, we encourage you to keep a close watch on the companies we published. Further, it will serve as a guide in choosing companies with value in your portfolio.

Happy investing.

Thank you for reading.

Time-Weighted Rate of Return (TWRR)

July 13th, 2017 Posted by Stocks Portfolio No Comment yet

Time-Weighted Rate of Return (TWRR) on Portfolio

Time-Weighted Rate of Return (TWRR) is a method to measure the performance of the portfolio over the time period invested. The summary of the results on the portfolio list we maintained is seen below in a table. These companies we are monitoring has a recommendation of a Buy in the articles we wrote and published in the website.  Totem has started publishing articles from as early as 2012.  Each company has a recommendation for a Buy and a template was created to monitor the returns and we assumed all these companies had a 100 shares Buy from the date the article was published was also the date of purchase.

The following Cris Portfolio is one of the three portfolio lists that is being monitored, maintained and updated periodically. This is part of my training in Totem.

TWRR

Period Cost Value Overall

Return

Days Annual

Return

08-12-2012 12-31-2012 68,199 64,884 -4.86% 141 -0.40% 0.996000
12-31-2012 12-31-2013 130,528 141,587 8.47% 365 1.71% 1.017078
12-31-2013 12-31-2014 155,792 174,716 12.15% 365 2.42% 1.024157
12-31-2014 12-31-2015 160,853 183,189 13.89% 365 2.74% 1.027443
12-31-2015 08-31-2016 161,200 187,392 16.25% 244 2.12% 1.021177
08-31-2016 09-30-2016 161,200 184,224 14.28% 30 0.23% 1.002287
09-30-2016 10-31-2016 161,200 179,672 11.46% 31 0.19% 1.001920
10-31-2016 11-30-2016 161,200 184,224 14.28% 30 0.23% 1.002287
11-30-2016 12-31-2016 161,200 179,672 11.46% 31 0.19% 1.001920
12-31-2016 01-31-2017 317,069 332,186 4.77% 31 0.08% 1.000824
01-31-2017 02-28-2017 317,069 354,834 11.91% 28 0.18% 1.001799
02-28-2017 03-31-2017 317,069 371,784 17.26% 31 0.28% 1.002819
03-31-2017 04-30-2017 317,069 381,453 20.31% 30 0.32% 1.003169
04-30-2017 05-31-2017 317,069 413,624 30.45% 31 0.47% 1.004712
1753 11.24%

Furthermore,

The above table shows an overall time-weighted rate of return (TWRR) of 11.24 percent. Above all, following our recommendations from the beginning with all the companies written and published on the company’s website. Likewise, you might have the same time-weighted rate of return of 11.24 percent.

We invite you to monitor our company and investment analysis through the written articles on our website: totemtalk.com

Thank you for reading.

Our Secret in Value Investing is no More

August 30th, 2014 Posted by Stocks Portfolio No Comment yet

Value investing, the stock prices change every day. You may find a certain stock that is cheap to buy today and then the following day the price goes up. So basically, it’s important to monitor the changes to get yourself aware of the opportunities. So what we have here? Today, we will give you the second released of our actively following list of stocks. If you wish to read the first one, please click here. Here’s our list.

Rank:

Orange means to reduce the portfolio holding, Green means to buy, and No Color means to hold. Sym: Company symbol

Name:

Complete name of the company

Type:

Evergreen is companies we will hold for more than 5 years; Woody is similar to Evergreen but that we will not reduce our holdings even when the company stock is fully priced; In addition, Deciduous is stocks that we will hold for 2 to 5 years; and on the other hand, Monocarpic is stocks that we will hold for less than 2 years (most likely around 1 year).

DeciduousDeciduousDeciduousDeciduousMonocarpicMonocarpicMonocarpic

Rank Sym Name Type
1 BIDU Baidu Inc (ADR) Woody
2 FB Facebook Inc Woody
3 AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Woody
4 GOOGL Google Inc Woody
5 GOOG Google Inc Woody
6 AAPL Apple Inc. Woody
7 CHL China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) Evergreen
8 PG The Procter & Gamble Company Evergreen
9 KO The Coca-Cola Company Evergreen
10 WMT Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Evergreen
11 MRK Merck & Co., Inc. Evergreen
12 MBUU Malibu Boats Inc Deciduous
13 KING King Digital Entertainment PLC Deciduous
14 KORS Michael Kors Holdings Ltd Deciduous
15 PCLN Priceline Group Inc Deciduous
16 MNST Monster Beverage Corp Deciduous
17 LULU Lululemon Athletica inc.
18 SB Safe Bulkers, Inc.
19 LOPE Grand Canyon Education…
20 TCEHY TENCENT HOLDINGS ADR Deciduous
21 OSTK Overstock.com, Inc.
22 CTSH Cognizant Tech Solutions Corp Deciduous
23 FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc Deciduous
24 CYOU Changyou.Com Ltd (ADR) Deciduous
25 FHCO The Female Health Company Deciduous
26 USNA USANA Health Sciences Inc Deciduous
27 JOY Joy Global Inc.
28 IDCC InterDigital, Inc.
29 CLF Cliffs Natural Resources Inc Monocarpic
30 INFY Infosys Ltd ADR Monocarpic
31 BHP BHP Billiton Limited…
32 VALE Vale SA (ADR) Monocarpic
33 NUS Nu Skin Enterprises Inc Monocarpic
34 COH Coach Inc Monocarpic
35 ESI ITT Educational Service Inc Monocarpic

The question you should ask is how did we come up with this list and what does it mean?

Value Investing – How did Totem Evaluate Companies

We researched dozens of public companies.  We compared and dissected the companies we believed to be undervalued. Over time our list of companies became overwhelmingly difficult for us to keep updating. We decided that with our limited resources we had to give up following the companies we like when it is clearly no longer undervalued or that changes in the company now made it unattractive for us to invest. Out of the pool of our favorite list of companies, we think these companies will give us the best bang for our time and resources.

Value Investing – Woody

Woody are perennial trees that take years to grow completely.  Like the companies in our category, we believe it will be a rather long time for them to mature.  Our aim is to increase our stake over time provided that the financial conditions of the company remain sound and that the management team remains stable.  Baidu, Facebook, Amazon, Google, and Apple continue to surprise us in terms of their ability to grow.  They are competitors in many areas.  The fundamentals of the companies are sound.  These companies are big enough to sustain any sudden temporary shock in the financial market.

Value Investing – Principle of Margin of Safety

Let’s say if there is an adverse investing environment in the stock market these companies stock prices will fall and we will see losses in our portfolio similar to many other stocks.  Our position is to invest using the principal of the margin of safety giving us around a 50% buffer before the drop in prices from these begin to create a serious problem for us. This group is designed to provide us with the returns we need in a normal market condition. Hopefully, the returns on these growing giants will be above average.

Value Investing – Evergreen

We are rather cautious about investing.  We always think the next big event will create a devastating blow on the market and our portfolio value.  Our Evergreen category consists of big stable, long live companies which consistently provide for a fair and stable return.  These companies stock prices tend to move in a narrow range and mostly independent of the market.  We think that when there is a crisis we hope to sell off some of these companies which at that time would hold its value far better than most stocks so that we have funds to buy more of the bargains typically found in a market sell-off. That is the plan and these are the companies we are counting on.

Value Investing – Deciduous

Deciduous is the main stable return producer.  These are some of the most admired lists of companies.  They are well run and produces consistent returns for shareholders.  These companies have one more quality lacking for us to categorize them as Woody or Evergreen.  This is the bulk of the companies we focus on. We like these companies so much because they give us minimal stress while we invest.  It is a carefree feeling typically for a few years.  We expect the stock prices of these companies to go up substantially in the 2nd thru the 5th year.  We normally sell when the price is right on these.

Value Investing – Monocarpic

Last is the Monocarpic group of companies. These companies are either going out of favor with the market or just coming back from the dark side.  We view these as substantially undervalued.  Typically they are the good guys stuck with bad companies, not always the case.  When investors don’t like a company they tend to sell the whole industry and some even get out of the sector.  The extreme is getting out of the country altogether.  We don’t have enough firepower in terms of mental resources to consider so many variables so we resort to keeping it simple and looking at one company at a time.

Value Investing – What it Matters

We tend to make a lot of money with these companies.  Sometimes we get into very difficult situations with a few of these.  These are the sleep goblins stealing much of our sleepless nights.  We sometimes hate to work on these because on two occasions we look like stupid idiots.  These are some of the more challenging work in value investing.  These days how quick you are at getting the data and how accurately you implement an action plan determines the degree of success.  This is also a put-off point but we need the money so it is a matter of adding 5 percent to our portfolio.  It is a matter of choice — no choice really.

If we have more funds we might not do these things.  Alright, we might still do it. Most of these are just plain simply outcasts, abandoned and unloved companies. Sometimes they are really sick companies but time heals all wounds and we have been counting on this.  The condition usually takes less than or a little over a year to recover.  Most of our sickly companies have recovered but some died and took a part of us with them (financially).

Thanks for reading,

Peter

Note:

Research Reports can be found under the company tab.